Summary of the News Article: Historic Expansion in Social Protection Coverage in India
The Modi Government has been instrumental in a significant expansion of social protection coverage in India, achieving a remarkable increase from 19% in 2015 to 64.3% by 2025, according to the International Labour Organization (ILO). This notable growth positions India as the second country worldwide in terms of social protection coverage, affecting over 94 crore citizens.
Key Statistics and Timeline:
- Social protection coverage in India increased from 19% in 2015 to 64.3% in 2025.
- Currently, more than 94 crore people are covered under at least one social protection scheme.
- This marks a 45 percentage point surge over the last decade.
Government Initiatives and Recognition:
- Union Minister of Labour & Employment, Dr. Mansukh Mandaviya, reported on these efforts during discussions at the International Labour Conference (ILC) in Geneva.
- The ILO acknowledged India's advancements in social security, specifically praising the welfare schemes targeting the economically disadvantaged under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s "Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas" vision.
- The strategies implemented by the government have also led to an extensive Social Protection Data Pooling Exercise in collaboration with the ILO, which recently recorded such data emphasizing the need for legislative backing, active cash benefits, and recent time-verified data.
ILO's Benchmarks for Evaluation:
- The ILO evaluates social protection schemes based on their adherence to criteria such as legislative backing, cash benefits, and the availability of verifiable data over the last three years.
Future Projections and Objectives:
- The current figures represent Phase I of the data exercise, which included data collection from Central sector and women-centric schemes in eight states.
- As further consolidation continues in Phase II, it is anticipated that social protection coverage will soon surpass 100 crore, pending verification of additional schemes.
- India is the first nation to update its 2025 social protection coverage statistics in the ILOSTAT database, showcasing its commitment to digital governance and transparency.
International Relations and Agreement Implications:
- The expanded social protection framework supports India's efforts to establish Social Security Agreements (SSAs) with developed nations.
- These agreements aim to facilitate the portability of social protection benefits for Indian workers overseas and ensure transparency necessary for mutual recognition frameworks, ultimately strengthening India’s position in international trade and labor mobility negotiations.
Event Participation:
- Dr. Mandaviya is leading a delegation to the 113th session of the International Labour Conference (ILC) from June 10-12, 2025, in Geneva, Switzerland, to build on these initiatives and global discussions regarding labor welfare.
This historic expansion in social protection reflects India's commitment to building an inclusive welfare system that adheres to the principle of "Antyodaya," promoting the upliftment of the most marginalized communities within society.
Important Sentences:
- India's social protection coverage has surged from 19% in 2015 to 64.3% in 2025.
- Over 94 crore citizens are now covered, making India second in the world for social protection coverage.
- The ILO lauded India for proactive welfare policies under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership.
- The current statistics represent Phase I of a national data pooling exercise.
- India plans to exceed 100 crore in social protection coverage with ongoing efforts.
- The 113th session of the ILO will take place from June 10-12, 2025, in Geneva, led by Dr. Mandaviya.

Summary of the News Article: Historic Expansion in Social Protection Coverage in India
The Modi Government has been instrumental in a significant expansion of social protection coverage in India, achieving a remarkable increase from 19% in 2015 to 64.3% by 2025, according to the International Labour Organization (ILO). This notable growth positions India as the second country worldwide in terms of social protection coverage, affecting over 94 crore citizens.
Key Statistics and Timeline:
- Social protection coverage in India increased from 19% in 2015 to 64.3% in 2025.
- Currently, more than 94 crore people are covered under at least one social protection scheme.
- This marks a 45 percentage point surge over the last decade.
Government Initiatives and Recognition:
- Union Minister of Labour & Employment, Dr. Mansukh Mandaviya, reported on these efforts during discussions at the International Labour Conference (ILC) in Geneva.
- The ILO acknowledged India's advancements in social security, specifically praising the welfare schemes targeting the economically disadvantaged under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s "Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas" vision.
- The strategies implemented by the government have also led to an extensive Social Protection Data Pooling Exercise in collaboration with the ILO, which recently recorded such data emphasizing the need for legislative backing, active cash benefits, and recent time-verified data.
ILO's Benchmarks for Evaluation:
- The ILO evaluates social protection schemes based on their adherence to criteria such as legislative backing, cash benefits, and the availability of verifiable data over the last three years.
Future Projections and Objectives:
- The current figures represent Phase I of the data exercise, which included data collection from Central sector and women-centric schemes in eight states.
- As further consolidation continues in Phase II, it is anticipated that social protection coverage will soon surpass 100 crore, pending verification of additional schemes.
- India is the first nation to update its 2025 social protection coverage statistics in the ILOSTAT database, showcasing its commitment to digital governance and transparency.
International Relations and Agreement Implications:
- The expanded social protection framework supports India's efforts to establish Social Security Agreements (SSAs) with developed nations.
- These agreements aim to facilitate the portability of social protection benefits for Indian workers overseas and ensure transparency necessary for mutual recognition frameworks, ultimately strengthening India’s position in international trade and labor mobility negotiations.
Event Participation:
- Dr. Mandaviya is leading a delegation to the 113th session of the International Labour Conference (ILC) from June 10-12, 2025, in Geneva, Switzerland, to build on these initiatives and global discussions regarding labor welfare.
This historic expansion in social protection reflects India's commitment to building an inclusive welfare system that adheres to the principle of "Antyodaya," promoting the upliftment of the most marginalized communities within society.
Important Sentences:
- India's social protection coverage has surged from 19% in 2015 to 64.3% in 2025.
- Over 94 crore citizens are now covered, making India second in the world for social protection coverage.
- The ILO lauded India for proactive welfare policies under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership.
- The current statistics represent Phase I of a national data pooling exercise.
- India plans to exceed 100 crore in social protection coverage with ongoing efforts.
- The 113th session of the ILO will take place from June 10-12, 2025, in Geneva, led by Dr. Mandaviya.

India Revises GDP Calculation Base Year
The Indian Union Government's Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, represented by Secretary Saurabh Garg, is set to revise the base year for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) calculations, shifting it from 2011-12 to 2022-23. This change is part of ongoing updates to key economic metrics and is scheduled for release on February 27, 2026. The revisions will also extend to the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), which will adopt a base year of 2022-23, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which will use 2023-24 as its new base year.
Key Facts:
- Base Year Change: The current base year for GDP is 2011-12; it will change to 2022-23.
- Release Date: Revised GDP data will be published on February 27, 2026.
- Other Metrics: IIP will also switch to a base year of 2022-23, while CPI will revise to 2023-24.
- Historical Context: This will be the eighth revision of the GDP base year since the process began in 1949.
Historical Revisions Timeline:
- 1948-49 to 1960-61 (August 1967)
- 1960-61 to 1970-71 (January 1978)
- 1970-71 to 1980-81 (February 1988)
- 1980-81 to 1993-94 (February 1999)
- 1993-94 to 1999-2000 (January 2006)
- 1999-2000 to 2004-05 (January 2010)
- 2004-05 to 2011-12 (January 30, 2015)
Rationale for Revisions:
- To reflect changes in the economic landscape and improve accuracy in estimating the state of the economy.
- The revisions will help policymakers and economic agents understand economic conditions more effectively.
Challenges in GDP Calculation:
- GDP is a complex measure, that includes only final goods and services, necessitating robust and accurate data.
- Changes in the economy's structure, including shifts from agriculture to services (now accounting for 55% of GDP), require different methodologies for GDP estimations.
Previous Failed Revisions:
- There were plans to revise the base year to 2017-18, but it was dropped due to data quality issues and shifts in economic performance following major policies like demonetization and the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST).
Importance of Upcoming Revision:
- The 2026 revision is crucial as India approaches the position of being the third-largest economy globally.
- Critiques of India’s previous GDP estimations, particularly following the 2015 revision, have raised concerns over credibility.
- The upcoming revision must ensure data accuracy to restore trust with investors and the global community.
Conclusion: India's GDP revision is a pivotal move aimed at reinvigorating confidence in national economic indicators, especially in light of past controversies surrounding economic data reliability. As India prepares to solidify its position in the world economy, the precision and trustworthiness of the new GDP figures will be under significant scrutiny.
Important Points:
- GDP base year changing to 2022-23; data release on February 27, 2026.
- Other metrics' base years also being revised; IIP (2022-23), CPI (2023-24).
- Eighth revision since national income estimation began in 1949.
- Regular revisions capture economic shifts and enhance data accuracy.
- Challenges include data complexity and historical economic structural changes.
- Failed attempts to revise to 2017-18 due to data quality issues.
- Upcoming revision critical for restoring credibility in India's economic data.
Economic and Social Development

Inauguration of Srinagar-Katra Rail Link
Summary of the News Article on the Nowgam Railway Station and the Vande Bharat Express
On June 10, 2025, the atmosphere at Nowgam railway station, located in Srinagar, is marked by the pleasant summer sun and the station's unique architectural elements reflecting Kashmiri culture. The double-storey station, officially inaugurated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on June 6, features the Vande Bharat Express, which connects Srinagar with Katra. This rail service is expected to bolster national integration, enhance trade and tourism, and empower economic growth in Jammu and Kashmir.
Key Points
- Location and Significance: Nowgam station is situated at 1,730 meters above sea level, just nine kilometers from Lal Chowk, Srinagar's city center.
- Inauguration: The Vande Bharat Express was inaugurated on June 6, 2025, serving as a critical link between Kashmir and the rest of India.
- Travel Improvements: The new railway service reduces travel time from Srinagar to Katra from 24 hours to about 13 hours over a distance of 191 kilometers.
- National Project: The rail link project began in 1994 and was declared a national project in 2008, with a total expenditure of ₹43,780 crore on the 272-km Udhampur-Srinagar-Baramulla rail link.
- Historical Context: Before the railway connection, Kashmir's access to the rest of India depended on treacherous roads, primarily the 294-km NH 44, and the Mughal Road inaugurated in 2009.
- Safety Concerns: There has been a significant number of fatalities on NH 44, highlighting the danger of land travel, with approximately 1,750 deaths recorded from 2010 to 2020.
- Engineering Feats: The train journey includes engineering marvels such as the Anji Khad cable-stayed bridge and the Chenab Rail Bridge, which boasts the world's highest railway arch bridge, 359 meters above the riverbed.
Economic Impact
- Impact on Apple Production: Jammu and Kashmir's apple production in 2024-2025 reached 20.56 lakh metric tonnes, with 13.13 lakh metric tonnes exported by February 2025. The improved connectivity is anticipated to facilitate quicker access to markets for apple growers.
- Tourism Prospects: The new rail link is expected to boost tourism, which could see a major uptick following recent security concerns in the region. Increased connectivity will encourage both local and international tourists.
Government and Official Comments
- Railway Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw emphasized the project overcame numerous challenges imposed by the difficult Himalayan terrain and highlighted its significance for strategic and military needs.
- Safety measures are prioritized, with infrastructure capable of withstanding severe weather conditions and potential terrorist threats.
- The train's connectivity is touted as instrumental for both ordinary Kashmiris and the broader economic landscape by enhancing trade and travel efficiency.
Demographics and User Experience
The train service caters to a diverse range of passengers, including students, families, and businesspeople. For many, it is their first experience on a train. The journey offers scenic views of Kashmir's landscape, enhancing passengers' travel experience.
Future Considerations
With the expectation of increased footfall, there are calls for upgrades in tourism infrastructure in the Valley. Local stakeholders express hope that the new railway will rejuvenate the economy and open new pathways for youth employment and educational opportunities.
In conclusion, the Vande Bharat Express represents a strategic advancement for Jammu and Kashmir, fostering socioeconomic growth, safety, and integration with the rest of India.
Important Sentences
- The Vande Bharat Express significantly reduces travel time from Srinagar to Katra, enhancing connectivity.
- The rail project started in 1994 and was declared a national project in 2008, costing ₹43,780 crore.
- The train’s engineering includes marvels such as the Chenab Rail Bridge, which is the highest railway arch bridge in the world.
- The new railway service is expected to boost apple production and tourism in Jammu and Kashmir.
- Railway Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw stresses the project’s significance for strategic, military, and economic needs.
- Safety measures have been prioritized to address potential threats from terrorism and extreme weather conditions.
- Passengers express excitement for their first train ride, indicating a cultural shift towards rail travel for ordinary Kashmiris.
Economic and Social Development

Kauvery Hospital's Diabetes Helpline Milestone
Summary of Kauvery Hospital’s Diabetes Helpline Milestone
Kauvery Hospital has celebrated a significant achievement with its 24x7 diabetes helpline reaching 1500 days of continuous service since its initiation in April 2021. This helpline was established primarily to support diabetes patients, especially during the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Key Features of the Helpline:
- Team Composition: The helpline is operated by a multidisciplinary team comprising diabetes educators, physicians, dietitians, and experts in data monitoring.
- Service and Impact: It provides real-time assistance during hypoglycemic episodes, one of the critical risks associated with diabetes. Hypoglycemia can lead to severe complications, including fainting, confusion, or coma if not addressed promptly.
- Launch Context: With the overwhelming focus on COVID-19 management in 2021, the helpline emerged as a vital resource, allowing diabetics to receive medical guidance without needing to visit healthcare facilities.
Usage and Call Stats:
- The helpline has taken over 25,000 calls since its launch, reflecting its extensive utilisation.
- In the year 2024 alone, there were 12,541 calls, a significant increase from 1,223 calls in 2021, highlighting the growing reliance on this service.
- Of these calls, 0.89% were categorized as emergencies related to hypoglycemia, and they were effectively managed through immediate telephonic support, leading to appropriate follow-ups.
Notable Success Stories:
- One particular case involved a woman stabilised through phone guidance to consume fast-acting glucose, thereby averting a potential emergency room visit.
- Another critical case involved a pregnant woman with high-risk gestational diabetes. Initially advised to terminate her pregnancy, she was guided through continuous glucose monitoring and support from the helpline, resulting in the safe delivery of healthy twins.
Statements and Acknowledgments:
- Health Minister Ma. Subramanian praised the initiative during a recent event, highlighting the significance of the helpline in providing free medical guidance amid concerns of misinformation, particularly prevalent on communication platforms like WhatsApp.
- Dr. Baraneedharan, a Senior Consultant Diabetologist at Kauvery Hospital, emphasised the importance of accurate medical advice in combating misinformation. He reiterated that the service remains essential even beyond the pandemic due to the complexities involved with diabetes management.
Continued Relevance:
- The helpline's continuation beyond the crises of the pandemic underscores its importance in addressing the ongoing and complex management needs of diabetes patients. According to the co-founder of the Kauvery Group of Hospitals, Dr. Aravindan Selvaraj, the initiative is a crucial healthcare support system that remains relevant in the long run.
Important Points:
- Kauvery Hospital's helpline operated continuously for 1500 days since April 2021.
- The helpline was created to assist during the COVID-19 pandemic when access to hospitals was limited.
- To date, over 25,000 calls have been received, with a sharp increase in 2024.
- 12,541 calls in 2024 represented a significant rise from earlier years, indicating its growing utility.
- Emergency calls for hypoglycemia represent 0.89% of the total calls.
- Successful interventions have included cases that prevented emergency situations and supported high-risk pregnancies.
- The initiative was endorsed by Health Minister Ma. Subramanian for its role in combatting misinformation.
Economic and Social Development

Retail Inflation Hits Multi-Year Low
Summary of Retail Inflation Data and RBI Policy Outlook
In May 2025, India's retail inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), experienced a significant decline, recording a multi-year low of 2.82%. This figure marks the lowest inflation rate since February 2019, indicating a favorable trend in consumer pricing.
- Latest Inflation Data: The National Statistics Office (NSO) reported that retail inflation averaged just under 3% for the quarter of April-May 2025.
- RBI Expectations: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had previously anticipated first-quarter inflation around 2.9%, aligning with current data.
The decline in inflation has been largely attributed to a significant moderation in food prices, particularly:
- Food Inflation: The food price index saw reductions of 13.7% in vegetable prices and 8.22% in pulses. However, certain categories, such as oils, fats, and fruits, still faced double-digit inflation rates.
The agricultural sector showed robust growth of 4.6% in the previous year, leading to beneficial outcomes for the rabi crop. However, the forthcoming performance of the kharif crop will heavily depend on the Southwest monsoon, which has thus far exhibited a rainfall deficit of 33% below its long-term average as of June 12.
- Monsoon Impact: The onset and progress of the monsoon rains will be crucial for determining food output and subsequent prices.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel components, has remained stable at approximately 4.3%. Nevertheless, high inflation persists in the personal care and effects category.
Global Influences on Inflation: Analysts at Nomura noted several factors affecting inflation trends, including:
- Lower global commodity prices
- Increased reliance on imports, particularly from China
- Weak domestic economic growth
- Muted second-round effects regarding household inflation expectations and wage growth.
Retail inflation has successfully stayed below the RBI’s target of 4% for a consecutive four months. In response to economic conditions, the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) lowered the benchmark repo rate by 50 basis points, cumulatively reducing the rate by 100 basis points since February 2025, bringing the repo rate to 5.5%. Additionally, the cash reserve ratio was also lowered by 100 basis points to facilitate better monetary policy transmission.
- Monetary Policy Implications: Despite these adjustments, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra pointed out that the scope for further monetary policy support is limited.
Current projections suggest that inflation may gradually rise throughout the year, averaging approximately 3.7%, while some analysts anticipate even lower figures.
- Future Policies: The MPC is expected to adopt a cautious approach in its upcoming decisions, awaiting greater clarity on monsoon conditions, which are critical for food crops and inflation management.
In conclusion, the trajectory of prices and economic growth will play a pivotal role in shaping the RBI’s future policy actions. Greater insight into these elements will emerge in the forthcoming weeks as seasonal weather patterns unfold.
Key Points:
- Retail inflation at multi-year low of 2.82% in May 2025.
- Average inflation below 3% in April-May quarter, in line with RBI's expectations.
- Significant declines in food prices; vegetables down 13.7% and pulses 8.22%.
- Reliable agricultural growth at 4.6% last year.
- Monsoon performance critical for kharif crop outcomes.
- Core inflation stable at 4.3%, high in personal care categories.
- RBI has reduced repo rate by 100 basis points since February.
- Projections suggest inflation may rise to 3.7% this year.
- MPC to monitor weather impacts before further policy action.
Economic and Social Development

SEBI Introduces Verified UPI Mechanism
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is set to implement a structured unified payment interface (UPI) address mechanism for its registered intermediaries, aimed at enhancing investor protection and combating unauthorized fund collection. This initiative comes in response to the increasing threat posed by unregistered entities in the stock market, which have misled investors by collecting funds illegally.
Key Details of the Initiative:
Introduction of New UPI Mechanism:
- SEBI will introduce a structured UPI address mechanism featuring a unique handle with the suffix “@valid.”
- The handle will be allocated exclusively for payment collection by registered intermediaries, managed by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI).
Registration and Identification:
- The UPI handle will consist of a readable name chosen by the intermediary with an appropriate category suffix (e.g.,
.brk
for brokers,.mf
for mutual funds). - A unique visual cue, a “thumbs-up inside a green triangle” icon, will be displayed to signify a legitimate registered intermediary during transactions.
- The UPI handle will consist of a readable name chosen by the intermediary with an appropriate category suffix (e.g.,
Implementation Deadline:
- Both the new UPI mechanism and a verification tool called 'SEBI Check' are scheduled to be rolled out by October 1, 2025.
Objectives of the New UPI IDs:
- Aimed at significantly improving investor confidence and safety by minimizing impersonation and ensuring funds are transferred securely.
- Designed to provide a proactive approach in detecting and preventing fraudulent activities.
Regulatory Framework:
Mandatory Requirement:
- All registered intermediaries must obtain the new validated UPI IDs, which they are required to make known to investors.
- Investors will, however, have the option to choose their preferred payment method (e.g., UPI, IMPS, NEFT, RTGS, or cheque), but are encouraged to use the new UPI IDs specifically for transactions with registered intermediaries.
End of Existing IDs:
- Payments via existing UPI IDs will cease to be accepted after the cut-off date of October 1, 2025, although already ongoing mutual fund systematic investment plans (SIPs) can continue under the old mechanism. New SIPs, or the renewal of existing ones, must employ the new IDs.
Introduction of ‘SEBI Check’:
- Verification Tool:
- SEBI is developing the 'SEBI Check' feature, which will allow investors to authenticate UPI IDs and bank details either through scanning a QR code or manual entry.
- This tool aims to add an extra layer of security, ensuring that investors can verify the legitimacy of any entity before making financial transactions.
Conclusion and Future Prospects:
- The introduction of the new UPI mechanism and the 'SEBI Check' tool signifies SEBI's commitment to safeguarding investor interests and enhancing the integrity of the securities market. By October 1, 2025, these developments promise to create a more secure environment for financial transactions in India.
Important Points Summary:
- SEBI introduces a structured UPI mechanism set for October 1, 2025.
- Unique UPI handles will feature a suffix to identify intermediaries (e.g.,
.brk
,.mf
). - Investors will see a visual cue to signify legitimate intermediaries during transactions.
- All intermediaries must obtain the new UPI IDs and inform investors.
- Existing UPI IDs will be phased out after the implementation deadline.
- 'SEBI Check' tool will help verify UPI IDs and bank details to prevent fraud.
- The initiative aims to enhance investor protection and trust in the securities market.
Economic and Social Development

World Bank Forecasts India's Economic Growth
The news article discusses the World Bank's economic forecasts for India and global growth, highlighting key trends, policy changes, and challenges ahead.
Summary
Growth Projections for India:
- The World Bank maintains its GDP growth forecast for India at 6.3% for the fiscal year 2025-26, indicating that India will be the fastest-growing large economy globally during this period.
- The growth forecast has been adjusted downward by 20 basis points for FY27 to 6.5% and is projected to reach 6.7% in FY28.
- India's anticipated growth is supported by robust services activity which could enhance export performance.
Global Economic Context:
- The World Bank has reduced growth forecasts for nearly 70% of economies due to increasing trade tensions and policy uncertainties, predicting a global growth of 2.3% for 2025, the slowest outside outright recessions since 2008.
- Global growth for 2026 is expected to marginally improve to 2.4% but will still represent a decline from earlier predictions (2.7% in January 2025).
- The first half of the 2020s is on track to have the slowest average global growth since the 1960s.
Trade Relations and Tensions:
- The article references reciprocal tariffs enforced by the Trump administration in April 2025, highlighting ongoing trade tensions as significant factors impacting global economic health.
- U.S.-China discussions in London are noted, especially in light of imposed export controls, reflecting on the escalation of trade conflicts.
Prospect of Economic Recovery:
- The World Bank suggests that if major economies can resolve trade disputes, a more rapid recovery in global growth could occur. They estimate that resolving current tariffs could enhance global growth by approximately 0.2 percentage points in 2025 and 2026.
Domestic Economic Indicators:
- The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has adjusted its policy repo rate, implementing a 50 basis points cut to 5.50%, building on a 100 basis points reduction for the year aimed at stimulating domestic consumption and investment.
- Inflation projections by RBI are benign, with anticipated rates around 3.7% in FY26, reflecting a conducive environment for policy easing.
Challenges and Economic Slowdown:
- The forecast for India also coincides with a slowdown in GDP growth, which fell to 6.5% in FY25, primarily due to a decrease in industrial production despite steady service activity and agricultural recovery.
- The Indian government aims for fiscal consolidation, with an anticipated public debt-to-GDP ratio of 56.1% in FY26 and a plan to reduce this to the range of 49-51% by FY31.
Key Points
- India’s GDP growth forecast retained at 6.3% for 2025-26; fastest growth rate forecast among large economies.
- Global growth downgraded to 2.3% for 2025 due to trade tensions, slowest pace since 2008.
- Trade disputes affecting global tariffs could lead to improved global growth projections if resolved.
- RBI's interest rate cut reflects efforts to stimulate consumption and investment.
- India's GDP growth slowed to 6.5% in FY25; government aims for a public debt-to-GDP target reduction by FY31.
- Inflation expected to remain manageable at 3.7% in FY26, allowing room for further policy support.
Economic and Social Development

Connecting Kashmir to Kanniyakumari by Rail
The inauguration of the Udhampur-Srinagar-Baramulla Rail Link (USBRL) marks a significant milestone in Indian railway infrastructure, establishing a direct rail connection between Kashmir and the rest of India for the first time. This 272-kilometre project was initiated 28 years ago and successfully navigates the challenging Himalayan terrain, overcoming engineering hurdles.
Key Features of the USBRL Project:
- Chenab Rail Bridge: Recognized as the world’s highest railway arch bridge, it stands 359 metres above the riverbed, surpassing the height of the Eiffel Tower by 35 metres. It spans 1,315 metres, engineered to withstand wind speeds of up to 260 km/h and designed for a lifespan of 120 years.
- Anji Khad Bridge: India’s first cable-stayed railway bridge, it rises 331 metres above the riverbed and stretches 725 metres, supported by 96 high-tensile cables, with 8,200 metric tonnes of steel used in its construction.
- The entire USBRL project incurred a total expenditure of ₹43,780 crore and involved extensive engineering feats including the drilling of 36 tunnels over 119 kilometres and the construction of 943 bridges.
Economic and Social Impact:
- The completion of the rail link marks the end of Kashmir’s geographical isolation, facilitating better connectivity and economic integration with the national rail network.
- A new train service, the Vande Bharat Express, was inaugurated to operate between Srinagar and Katra, significantly reducing travel time between the two locations to three hours. Additionally, a direct train service from New Delhi to Srinagar is set to commence, cutting the travel time from over 24 hours to just 13 hours.
- Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who inaugurated the rail link, stated that it symbolizes a new era of empowerment for Jammu and Kashmir, indicating its potential to transform the local economy and society.
Contextual Analysis:
- The rail link’s inauguration comes shortly after the Pahalgam terror attack in April 2025, which had strained India-Pakistan relations and marked a spike in military engagements, including “Operation Sindoor,” targeting terrorism infrastructure across the border.
- The incompletion of the rail link could have left Kashmir vulnerable to external conflicts; its operation is expected to enhance security and societal resilience by promoting inter-community interaction.
Date of Publication:
- This information was published on June 12, 2025.
Summary of Important Information:
- Project Title: Udhampur-Srinagar-Baramulla Rail Link (USBRL)
- Length: 272 km
- Investment: ₹43,780 crore
- Significant Structures:
- Chenab Rail Bridge (359 m high)
- Anji Khad Bridge (331 m high)
- Travel Benefits: Journey time between Katra and Srinagar reduced to 3 hours; New Delhi to Srinagar in 13 hours.
- Initial Context: Launched amidst recent tensions between India and Pakistan, following local terrorist activities.
- Government Commentary: PM Modi describes the rail link as a symbol of empowerment for J&K.
The inauguration of the USBRL represents a transformative infrastructure development with far-reaching implications for connectivity, economic progress, and national integration in Jammu and Kashmir.
National and international importance

India's Retail Inflation Hits Low Point
In May 2025, India's retail inflation rate fell below 3% for the first time since April 2019, primarily influenced by food price fluctuations. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which serves as the benchmark for measuring inflation, recorded an already low rate of 3.16% in April 2025, with expectations that May 2025 inflation could drop to around 2.7%. Notably, while there was a rise in prices for certain vegetables, including potatoes (3%) and tomatoes (10%), the overall prices for cereals and pulses decreased, contributing to a decline in the prices of essential commodities.
Key Developments:
- CPI Inflation: Expected at approximately 2.7% for May 2025, down from 3.16% in April 2025.
- Historical Context: The last instance of CPI inflation dipping below 3% was in April 2019 (2.99%).
- Price Trends: Increase in specific vegetable prices contrasted with decreased prices for cereals and pulses leading to the overall decline in essential commodity prices.
- Essential Commodities Index: Bank of Baroda's Essential Commodities Index fell by 0.6% year-on-year in May 2025, marking the first decline since January 2019.
- Core Inflation: Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, is projected to rise to about 4.2%. This category’s increase is attributed to underlying demand pressures, shifting from a lower rate of 3.1% in mid-2024.
- Expert Analysis: Economists from Nomura have attributed the gradual increase in core inflation to lower global commodity prices, reliance on Chinese imports, weak domestic growth, and muted household inflation expectations.
Economic Outlook:
- The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) revised its inflation forecast for the fiscal year downwards by 30 basis points to 3.7%. Nonetheless, the pace of declining food prices is slowing. Notably, the latest increases in tomato and potato prices may indicate a need for caution in monitoring these trends moving forward.
- The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has responded to the benign inflation data by cutting interest rates aggressively in 2025. The repo rate was reduced to 5.50% following a cut of 100 basis points to support economic growth initiatives.
- CPI inflation is expected to average 2.9% in the April-June 2025 quarter, with a forecasted increase to about 4.4% by the end of the fiscal year.
- Despite the anticipated low inflation rates, the MPC adjusted its policy stance from ‘accommodative’ to ‘neutral’ to manage limited space for further monetary support.
Major Insights:
- Food Prices Influence: CPI's fluctuation largely influenced by essential food item pricing.
- Trend Monitoring: Careful observation of the “TOP” (tomato, onion, potato) prices is crucial due to rising trends in these areas.
- Cautious Economic Approach: Although there is an optimistic outlook on keeping inflation low, the economic policies reflect a cautious approach amid changing food supply dynamics.
The data underscores a complex economic landscape where fluctuating food prices and prevailing core inflation pressures prompt both optimism and caution in economic forecasting and policy adjustments by the RBI.
Economic and Social Development
Indian Economy Growth Forecast Retained
The recent report from the World Bank indicates a stable yet cautious outlook for the Indian economy, projecting a growth rate of 6.3% for the fiscal year 2025-26. This forecast aligns India as the fastest-growing large economy globally, despite a 40 basis point reduction made earlier in April 2025. The growth forecasts highlight several economic challenges, including sluggish investment and dampened exports due to global uncertainties and rising trade barriers.
Summary of Key Points:
GDP Growth Forecasts:
- India’s GDP growth is forecasted at 6.3% for FY2025-26, maintaining the status of the fastest-growing large economy.
- The World Bank downgraded India's previous growth forecast by 0.4 percentage points due to reduced exports aligned with global economic conditions and trade tensions.
- For FY2026-27, the forecast has also been reduced to 6.5%, with a projected growth of 6.7% for FY2027-28.
Global Economic Context:
- The World Bank has revised growth estimates for 70% of economies globally owing to heightened trade tensions, predicting global growth to slow to 2.3% in 2025, the slowest since 2008 outside economic recessions.
- Indermit Gill, Chief Economist of the World Bank, noted that developing economies are witnessing a significant slowdown, with annual growth declining from 6% in the 2000s to less than 4% in the current decade.
Domestic Economic Indicators:
- India’s GDP growth rate was recorded at 6.5% for FY25, the slowest pace in four years, attributed mainly to a slowdown in industrial production, although services and agricultural outputs have shown resilience.
- The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reduced the policy repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.50%, totaling 100 basis points of cuts for 2025, aiming to stimulate consumption and private investment.
Projection of Inflation and Fiscal Policy:
- The RBI projects headline retail inflation to average 3.7% in FY26, indicating benign inflationary pressures that allow for continued monetary easing.
- The Indian government forecasts a gradual decline in the public debt-to-GDP ratio, aiming to target it between 49-51% by FY31, down from an estimated 56.1% in FY26.
Investment and Trade Concerns:
- An expected slowdown in investment is linked to rising global policy uncertainty. Major economies, particularly the US and China, are grappling with trade tensions, which complicate the outlook for India’s export growth.
- The potential resolution of trade disputes could increase global growth projections by 0.2 percentage points, emphasizing the interconnectedness of economies in the current geopolitical climate.
Impact of Policy Decisions:
- The focus of the government and the RBI on stimulating growth through favorable policy changes is positioned as essential for overcoming economic headwinds.
- The upcoming fiscal policies are aimed at enhancing tax revenues while controlling current expenditures to ensure sustainable economic management.
Concluding Remarks:
The World Bank’s forecast reaffirms the resilience of the Indian economy amidst challenging global dynamics, emphasizing the need for strategic policy interventions to sustain growth. The interplay of domestic monetary policies and international trade relations will be crucial in shaping India's economic trajectory in the coming years.
Economic and Social Development
India's Renewable Energy Capacity Growth
Summary of Renewable Energy Developments in India (2025-2026)
According to Crisil Ratings, India is projected to add 75 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy capacity in the fiscal years 2025-26 (FY26) and 2026-27 (FY27), marking a 53% increase from the 49 GW added in FY24 and FY25. This growth is fundamentally attributed to a rising focus on hybrid projects, which combine solar and wind energy systems, and storage-linked technologies that utilize batteries and pumped hydro for energy storage.
Key Highlights:
Capacity Addition:
- India plans to add 75 GW of renewable energy by March 2027.
- Total renewable capacity is expected to reach 233 GW by this date.
- Around 37% of this new capacity will originate from hybrid and storage-linked projects, a significant increase from 17% in FY24 and FY25.
Investment Growth:
- Investments in renewable energy are projected to surge by 52%, from Rs 2.5 lakh crore in FY24 and FY25 to Rs 3.8 lakh crore in FY26 and FY27.
- Historical investment figures: Rs 1.8 lakh crore in FY22 and FY23; Rs 2.5 lakh crore in FY24 and FY25.
Hybrid Project Significance:
- Hybrid projects combine solar and wind to stabilize energy generation, addressing the intermittent nature of renewable resources.
- The growth in hybrid projects is crucial for maintaining grid stability as solar energy production is day-based and wind energy is seasonal.
Transmission Infrastructure Challenges:
- A challenge to this rapid capacity expansion is the inadequate transmission infrastructure.
- The transmission sector saw capital expenditure increase to Rs 36,000 crore in FY25 from Rs 15,000 crore in FY24. New tenders worth Rs 1 lakh crore were awarded in FY25.
- Capex is projected at Rs 0.9-1 lakh crore for FY26 and FY27, but there are risks of delays due to equipment supply issues.
Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs):
- Many renewable projects are struggling to secure buyers through renewable energy implementing agencies (REIAs) with only 50% of PPAs closed as of March 2025.
- Expectation for improvement is based on rising domestic power demand and evolving obligations for distribution companies (discoms).
Energy Mix for FY26:
- As per a recent Grid-India resource adequacy report, 45 GW is expected to be added in FY26. Breakdown includes:
- Solar: 26.5 GW
- Wind: 6.3 GW
- Coal: 4.4 GW
- Battery Energy Storage: 3.3 GW
- Hydro: 1.6 GW
- Pumped Storage: 1.5 GW
- Nuclear: 1.4 GW
- As per a recent Grid-India resource adequacy report, 45 GW is expected to be added in FY26. Breakdown includes:
Conclusion:
The anticipated expansion of India's renewable energy sector underscores a significant commitment to increasing its capacity, with a notable shift towards hybrid and storage solutions. However, the sector also faces substantial challenges related to infrastructure development and securing long-term electricity purchasing agreements, which need to be addressed to sustain momentum toward achieving energy goals.
Important Points:
- 75 GW of renewable energy to be added in FY26 and FY27.
- Growth in hybrid and storage projects emphasizes grid stability.
- Investment is projected to rise to Rs 3.8 lakh crore.
- Challenges include insufficient transmission capacity and slow PPA closures.
- Expected addition of 45 GW in FY26 from diverse energy sources.
Economic and Social Development
Challenges in Building Chenab Bridge
Summary of the Konkan Railways’ Udhampur-Srinagar-Baramulla Rail Link (USBRL) Project
The Udhampur-Srinagar-Baramulla Rail Link (USBRL) project, spearheaded by Chief Engineer L. Prakash, represents a monumental engineering achievement in the challenging Himalayan terrain. This rail link is significant for improving transportation and connectivity in Jammu and Kashmir, ultimately fostering regional development.
Project Overview:
- The USBRL project involves constructing a 272-km long railway line, with a significant focus on a bridge across the Chenab River, aimed at connecting the Kashmir Valley with the rest of India.
- The project is part of the broader initiative to enhance infrastructure in Jammu and Kashmir post the abrogation of Article 370 in August 2019, which granted special status to the region.
Historical Context:
- L. Prakash, originally from Mysore, reflects on the challenges faced during the early stages of road construction to facilitate access to the remote regions of the Himalayas.
- The first encounters with unbearable conditions like landslides and difficult terrain were notable setbacks, with ongoing innovations needed to meet the project's demands.
Engineering Challenges:
- The USBRL traverses a Grade V seismic zone, necessitating innovative designs that can withstand frequent earth movements and harsh weather.
- Key engineering strategies involved using rock bolts (30-40 meters) and polyurethane grout to stabilize the ground and constructing the arch bridge with interlocking beams, designed to bear the weight of 300-tonne railway coaches.
Technological Innovations:
- Employed automated self-climbing cranes and CNC machines for cutting steel components, contributing to precision in the construction process.
- Continuous testing of components for durability and reliability was integral to the project’s success, ensuring structural integrity in variably shifting earth strata.
Team Dynamics and Community Involvement:
- The teamwork displayed was emphasized, showcasing camaraderie and dedication, with engineers frequently sacrificing time away from families over the course of twelve years.
- Local residents played a vital role, aiding in the surveying process and supporting the engineers with logistical needs during harsh conditions.
Labor and Employment:
- The project provided substantial employment opportunities, including the engagement of many women engineers, reflecting a progressive shift in workforce dynamics in engineering fields.
- As the project nears completion, there are plans to redeploy local workers who have gained valuable skills during the construction process so that they may continue contributing to subsequent projects.
Future Implications:
- The completion of the USBRL is viewed as a potential game-changer, expected to enhance trade, tourism, and economic stability in Jammu and Kashmir.
- The initiative aligns with the Indian government’s focus on integrating remote regions into national economic life, aimed at fostering development and social cohesion.
In conclusion, the USBRL project is not just a feat of engineering but embodies the spirit of perseverance, community collaboration, and innovative problem-solving in the face of natural challenges.
Important Points:
- Chief Engineer L. Prakash recalls initial challenges of constructing in extreme Himalayan terrain.
- USBRL is part of enhancing transportation in Jammu and Kashmir after the abrogation of Article 370.
- Unique engineering features include rock bolts and interlocking beams meant to withstand seismic activity.
- Technological innovations like automated cranes and CNC machines facilitated the construction process.
- Community involvement was crucial for logistical support and labor supply.
- Employment opportunities increased, with a significant participation of women engineers.
- Completion of USBRL may bolster trade, tourism, and economic stability in the region.
Economic and Social Development

India's Population Growth and Projections
Summary of UN Demographic Report on India's Population
A recent United Nations demographic report has highlighted significant shifts in India's population dynamics, with India's population estimated to reach 1.4639 billion (or 146.39 crore) by April. This report, titled "State of the World Population 2025: The Real Fertility Crisis," designates India as the "world's most populous nation," surpassing China, which has a population of 1.4161 billion (or 141.61 crore).
Key Points:
Total Fertility Rate (TFR):
- The report states India's TFR has declined to 1.9, falling below the replacement level of 2.1. This metric reflects the average number of children a woman is expected to have during her reproductive years.
- In contrast, the Sample Registration System report of 2021 indicated a TFR of 2.0, suggesting that the replacement level has been achieved.
Population Projections:
- India's population is expected to grow to 1.7 billion (or 170 crore) before beginning to decline in approximately 40 years.
- The projections from the UN align closely with earlier estimates from a 2019 technical expert group, which suggested a population of 1.411 billion by 2025.
Census Update:
- The decennial Census, originally scheduled for 2021, has been postponed, with completion now expected by March 2027. The last Census was conducted in 2011.
Demographic Composition:
- Youth demographics reveal that approximately 24% of the Indian population falls in the 0-14 age group, 17% in the 10-19 age group, and 26% in the 10-24 age group.
- About 68% of the population is in the working age bracket of 15-64 years. The elderly population (aged 65 and older) currently represents 7% and is projected to rise as life expectancy improves.
Life Expectancy:
- Life expectancy is projected to reach 71 years for men and 74 years for women by 2025. These estimates align with governmental projections.
Reproductive Agency Crisis:
- The UN report emphasizes a "real fertility crisis" not due to overpopulation or underpopulation but rather the inability of many individuals to achieve their fertility goals. It advocates for enhancing reproductive agency, which encompasses the freedom to make informed choices regarding sexual health, contraception, and family planning.
Data Sources:
- The statistical data provided are derived from peer-reviewed national datasets, including Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), and projections from the World Population Prospects: The 2024 revision and Model-based Estimates and Projections of Family Planning Indicators 2024.
Conclusion:
The UN demographic report portrays a transformative period in India's demographic landscape, reflecting a declining fertility rate that warrants attention towards reproductive rights and family planning. This demographic shift is crucial for future policy-making, economic planning, and social welfare programs in India as it navigates these changes amid a growing population.
Overall, the report underscores the need to address the nuances of population health and fertility desires, fostering an environment where individuals can make informed reproductive choices.
Important Sentences in Bullet Points:
- India's population is estimated to reach 146.39 crore by April, surpassing China's 141.61 crore.
- The Total Fertility Rate in India has declined to 1.9, which is below the replacement level TFR of 2.1.
- Expected population growth to 1.7 billion before decline in about 40 years.
- Census scheduled for 2021 delayed until March 2027.
- Approximately 24% of the population is aged 0-14, and 68% are between 15-64 years.
- Projected life expectancies are 71 years for men and 74 years for women by 2025.
- The report refers to a "real fertility crisis," advocating for improved reproductive agency.
Economic and Social Development

India's Sports Revolution and Vision
The trajectory of Indian sports is seeing significant advancements as the nation aims to achieve its vision of becoming 'Viksit Bharat' by 2047. Under the aegis of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the Indian sports scene has not only gained visibility on the global stage but has also seen remarkable achievements by its athletes.
Key Achievements and Statistics:
- At the Asian Athletics Championships 2025, Indian athletes secured 24 medals, setting numerous national records.
- Indian women wrestlers achieved a historic feat, garnering 21 medals at the Ulaanbaatar Open in Mongolia, marking their best performance in a Ranking Series event.
- From a legacy of 26 Olympic medals won prior to 2016, India significantly enhanced its medal tally with 15 medals in the last three Olympic Games (2016, 2020, and 2024).
- In Paralympics, India increased its medal count from 8 medals (1968-2012) to 52 medals in the last three editions, including a record 29 medals in Paris 2024.
Government Initiatives:
- The Target Olympic Podium Scheme (TOPS) was launched in 2014, initially supporting 75 athletes and now expanded to 213 sportspersons for the Los Angeles 2028 cycle, encompassing athletes from diverse categories including 52 para-athletes.
- The Target Asian Games Group (TAGG) supports 40 medal prospects across 10 disciplines, showcasing India's commitment to broadening its sports talent pool.
- The Ministry of Youth Affairs and Sports has seen its budget rise from Rs 1,219 crore in 2013-14 to Rs 3,794 crore in 2025-26, reflecting increased financial investment in sports.
- The Khelo India Scheme, initiated in 2017 to enhance grassroots sports infrastructure, has a budget allocation of Rs 1,000 crore for the current year.
Reforms and Transparency Measures:
- Selection processes for athletes have been reformed; federations are required to video record trials and release criteria for major events well in advance to promote fairness and transparency.
- Integration of sports certificates into the DigiLocker and the National Sports Repository System has augmented secure documentation processes.
- The Draft National Sports Policy 2024 and the Draft National Sports Governance Bill aim to enhance the overall sports ecosystem and athlete-centric governance, addressing issues like age fraud.
Growth of Traditional and Indigenous Sports:
- The government is promoting traditional sports such as mallakhamb, kalaripayattu, and yogasana through Khelo India initiatives.
- Indigenous sports like Kabaddi and Kho-Kho are gaining international recognition, enhancing India's traditional sporting footprint.
Promoting Gender Equity:
- The ASMIDA League (Achieving Sports Milestones by Inspiring Women Through Action) has successfully expanded female participation from 840 women athletes in 2021-22 to over 60,000 women competing in various sports in 2024-25.
Infrastructure Development:
- Sports infrastructure has dramatically increased, expanding from 38 before 2014 to 350 projects today.
- The Sports Authority of India operates 23 national centres of excellence aimed at nurturing elite athletes.
Future Aspirations:
- India is contemplating bids to host the 2030 Commonwealth Games and the 2036 Olympic Games.
- New verticals in the Khelo India program, including School Games, Tribal Games, and Water Games, are set to further develop the grassroot level sports talent pool.
In conclusion, as India endeavors to secure its position among the leading sporting nations of the world, the systematic and inclusive reforms in sports governance, infrastructure, and athlete support, reflect an extensive commitment to sporting excellence that aligns with PM Modi's vision for 2047.
Important Sentences:
- "Under PM Modi, Indian sports is scaling new heights on the global stage."
- "India clinched 24 medals at the Asian Athletics Championships 2025."
- "The TOPS has grown from 75 athletes to support 213 for the 2028 Olympics."
- "The Khelo India Scheme’s budget has risen to Rs 1,000 crore in 2025-26."
- "Women’s participation in sports expanded to over 60,000 in 2024-25 via the ASMITA League."
- "India is planning bids for the 2030 Commonwealth Games and the 2036 Olympic Games."
Economic and Social Development

Chennai Book Park Inauguration Event
On June 10, 2025, Chief Minister M.K. Stalin inaugurated the ‘Chennai Book Park’ located at the Central Metro station’s concourse in Chennai, with an investment of ₹1.85 crore. This initiative aims to cater to book lovers, students, and job aspirants, enhancing access to a variety of literature.
Key Highlights:
Inauguration Details: The Chennai Book Park was inaugurated by Chief Minister M.K. Stalin.
Location and Investment: Situated at the Central Metro station, it was established with a funding of ₹1.85 crore.
Book Collection:
- The park features approximately 15,000 books, including works from KSL Media Limited, Tamil Nadu Textbook and Educational Services Corporation, Kalachuvadu Publications Private Limited, and Ahaguru Education Technology Private Limited.
- Notable books include "Tamil Ilakkiya Varalaru" by T.V. Sadasiva Pandarathar and "Enadhu Aangal" by P. Vimala.
Accessibility and Future Plans:
- The choice of Central Metro station is significant due to its connectivity and high foot traffic.
- Based on the reception of this book park, plans are in place to open additional parks at locations such as the Alandur Metro station.
Facilities Offered:
- The facility is fully air-conditioned and includes an event space for book releases and a cafeteria.
Online Initiative:
- Concurrently, CM Stalin launched www.tntextbooksonline.com to enable wider access to books published by the Tamil Nadu Textbook and Educational Services Corporation, both within India and internationally.
Library Developments:
- The CM also virtually inaugurated new library buildings across the State during this event.
Additional Information:
- Notable attendees included Ministers P.K. Sekarbabu, Anbil Mahesh Poyyamozhi, Chennai Mayor R. Priya, and local MLA I. Paranthamen, among other senior officials.
This initiative is part of the broader efforts by the Tamil Nadu government to promote literacy, provide resources for education, and cultivate a reading culture among its citizens. The establishment of the Chennai Book Park is a progressive step towards creating accessible public spaces for knowledge and information dissemination.
Important Sentences:
- Chennai Book Park inaugurated at Central Metro station with ₹1.85 crore investment.
- Features around 15,000 books from various publishers, including educational materials.
- Central Metro station chosen for its high connectivity and footfall.
- Plans for future book parks in other metro stations based on feedback from visitors.
- The park will include event spaces for book releases and a cafeteria.
- Launch of an online platform for purchasing Tamil Nadu textbooks aimed at widening access.
- New library buildings were also inaugurated virtually across Tamil Nadu to enhance educational infrastructure.
Economic and Social Development

Economic Indicator Revisions in India
The article discusses the government's periodic revisions of the base year for key economic indicators such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Index of Industrial Production (IIP), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). These revisions aim to accurately reflect the changing patterns of consumption and production in India and incorporate new data sources, thus enhancing the quality of economic statistics.
Key developments and timelines include:
History of Revision:
- In 2015, India revised the national accounts series' base year from 2004-05 to 2011-12.
- Concurrently, the base year for CPI was updated to 2012 from 2010.
- In May 2017, the IIP's base year was changed from 2004-05 to 2011-12.
Upcoming Revisions:
- The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) plans to release a new GDP series with a base year of 2022-23 on February 27, 2026.
- The new IIP series, also expected to have the base year of 2022-23, is anticipated to begin in 2026-27.
- A new CPI series, with 2024 as the base year, is likely to be published in the first quarter of 2026.
Incorporation of New Datasets:
- The revisions will incorporate contemporary datasets, including Goods and Services Tax (GST) and Unified Payments Interface (UPI) transaction data, which were not available during previous assessments.
- The MoSPI also plans to utilize new data sources for CPI computation, such as online platforms for air and rail fares, as well as pricing data from e-commerce websites.
- Updates will rely on the latest Household Consumption Expenditure Survey for 2023-24 to refine the items and weights in the CPI calculations.
Impact on Economic Statistics:
- These base year revisions are crucial for improving the accuracy of economic indicators, which in turn aids in effective policymaking.
- An example of this impact is seen in the changing composition of the household consumption basket. For cereals, the share in the rural consumption basket has decreased from 10.69% in 2011-12 to 4.97% in 2023-24; in urban areas, from 6.61% to 3.74%.
- The adjustment of weights based on updated data could significantly influence headline inflation, which has implications for the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) inflation-targeting framework.
Controversies and Transparency Issues:
- Past revisions, such as the introduction of the GDP series based on 2011-12, faced scrutiny regarding their accuracy and the quality of underlying data.
- The article emphasizes the need for the government to ensure transparency by publicly disclosing all data sources and methodologies used in the calculation processes to mitigate concerns over the credibility of these figures.
In summary, the article underscores the importance of up-to-date and accurate economic indicators for policymaking, along with the necessity of transparency in the methodology of data collection and analysis.
Important Points:
- Government revises base years for economic indicators to reflect changing consumption and production.
- Past revisions occurred in 2015 (GDP, CPI) and 2017 (IIP).
- Upcoming releases include new GDP (base year 2022-23) on February 27, 2026, and CPI (base year 2024) in early 2026.
- New datasets (GST, UPI) will enhance the accuracy of estimates.
- Significant changes in consumption patterns, particularly in cereals, indicate the need for updated weights in CPI.
- Previous GDP revisions faced criticism; transparency in data sources and methodologies is essential.
Economic and Social Development

FDI Trends and Economic Implications
The RBI Bulletin for May 2025 presents contrasting narratives regarding India's foreign direct investment (FDI) landscape for the fiscal year 2024-25. Key highlights from the bulletin offer insights into the fluctuations of gross and net FDI, which serve as crucial indicators of the country's investment climate.
Summary:
Gross vs. Net FDI:
- India reported an unprecedented $81 billion in gross FDI inflows.
- In stark contrast, net FDI dwindled to just $353 million.
- Gross inflow-to-GDP ratio has decreased from 3.1% in 2020-21 to 2.1% in 2024-25, while net FDI has fallen from 1.6% of GDP to zero.
Outward FDI Trends:
- There was a noticeable increase in outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and disinvestment, indicating a growing trend where Indian firms invest abroad.
- OFDI often channels funds to tax havens like Singapore and Mauritius, raising concerns about the quality of inward FDI.
Connotation of 'Hot Money':
- Questions have emerged regarding whether the symmetrical inflows and outflows to these tax havens represent 'hot money' dynamics, suggesting minimal impact on domestic investment and potential capital tax optimization.
Research Insights:
- A study from Olivier Blanchard and Julien Acalin indicated that inward and outward FDI across emerging markets, including India, are closely connected to U.S. policy shifts.
- India ranked sixth among emerging economies in terms of correlation between inward and outward FDI, which may imply financial maneuvering rather than productive investment.
Investment Types:
- There has been a significant increase in the share of private equity (PE) and venture capital (VC) in FDI, constituting over 75.9% in 2020-21.
- Such investments largely delve into existing firms and sectors such as fintech, healthcare, and real estate, rather than contributing to greenfield projects that promote longer-term capital formation.
Economic Implications:
- FDI’s contribution to gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) has declined from a peak of 7.5% in FY21.
- Since FY14, FDI inflows are relatively stable, consistently ranging between 1-3% of GDP and 1-7% of GFCF.
Concerns and Recommendations:
- The reliance on alternative investment funds does not significantly bolster long-term capital growth or technological advancement.
- There’s a rising apprehension over whether India is becoming a conduit for tax arbitrage and a call for reforming foreign capital regulations to better align with domestic needs.
This analysis highlights the intricate dynamics of India's FDI scenario, accentuating the need for strategic measures to address the underlying challenges that could hinder sustainable growth and innovation in the country’s investment landscape.
Key Points:
- India’s gross FDI inflows reached $81 billion; net FDI fell to $353 million.
- Gross FDI inflows as a share of GDP declined from 3.1% to 2.1% from 2020-21 to 2024-25.
- OFDI trends indicate capital movement to tax havens, suggesting limited domestic impact.
- Private equity and venture capital represented over 75.9% of FDI in 2020-21.
- Declining FDI’s contribution to GFCF raises concerns.
- Ongoing need for reforms in foreign capital regulations to enhance domestic interests.
Economic and Social Development

India's Defence Production and Exports Surge
In the wake of Operation Sindoor, India’s defense sector has demonstrated significant growth, prompting debates on the effectiveness of the country's indigenous defense capabilities. The notable rise in defense production, exports, and stock valuations of defense companies emphasizes a pivotal moment for India’s defense landscape.
Key Highlights:
Operation Sindoor Impact: Following India's military operations against Pakistan, defense stocks surged, with 18 companies under the Nifty Defence Index showing an increase of approximately 21% during the week's operations, outpacing the Nifty50 index's meager rise of 3.1%.
Record Defense Production: For the fiscal year 2023-24 (FY24), India's defense production reached a historic ₹1.3 lakh crore. This represents a growth rate of 17% from the previous year, marking the second consecutive year surpassing the ₹1 lakh crore threshold. Key historical data shows:
- Prior contraction of 2.5% in FY20 due to the pandemic.
- Continuous double-digit growth since FY22.
FY25 Projections: By December 2024, production figures are projected to reach ₹90,000 crore, against a target of ₹1.6 lakh crore.
Defense Exports Growth: India’s defense exports have seen a significant boost, exceeding ₹20,000 crore in the past two fiscal years, twice the levels observed before FY20. The current fiscal's export target is set at ₹30,000 crore.
Public vs. Private Sector: While public sector companies dominate the defense production landscape, the private sector is incrementally acquiring a larger market share:
- Private defense companies accounted for approximately 24% of total defense production in FY25, up from 20% in FY17.
- They also play a crucial role in defense exports, leading in export authorizations.
Role of MSMEs: Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) have become vital to the defense production ecosystem, supplying essential components:
- Goods worth ₹13,000 crore were procured from MSMEs in FY25, exceeding targets set for procurement.
- Between FY18 and FY20, small businesses contributed around ₹3,000 crore to the defense sector.
Government Procurement Policies: The Indian government has introduced mandatory procurement targets from MSMEs to fortify support for smaller enterprises within the defense sector.
Relative Military Expenditure: Despite the impressive growth in defense expenditures, the share of defense spending in overall government expenditure has been on a decline. Nonetheless, India continues to allocate a substantial portion of its GDP to military spending, particularly compared to other emerging market economies.
Additional Factual Data:
Market Reaction: The defense sector witnessed a favorable market sentiment post-Operation Sindoor, outperforming major indices.
Statistical Charts: The analysis referenced various charts demonstrating defense production growth, export targets, and the increasing role of private firms in defense capabilities.
Conclusion:
The developments post-Operation Sindoor indicate a crucial shift in India’s defense sector, signifying improved capabilities, rising private sector involvement, and strong support from MSMEs. The government's strategic focus on bolstering indigenous production aligns with broader national objectives of self-reliance in defense, while enhancing India's global defense standing.
These changes are crucial as India navigates its defense relationships and international military dynamics, particularly given the shifting landscape of arms deals and strategic partnerships.
This analysis underscores the importance of ongoing vigilance and strategic investments in the defense domain to ensure national security and foster economic growth.
Economic and Social Development

Cabinet Approves Railway Multi-Tracking Projects
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA), chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has approved two significant multitracking projects for the Indian Railways, with a collective investment of Rs. 6,405 crore. These projects aim to enhance the railway network in seven districts across the states of Jharkhand, Karnataka, and Andhra Pradesh by approximately 318 kilometers.
Key Projects:
Koderma – Barkakana Doubling (133 Kms):
- The route is located in a major coal-producing area of Jharkhand.
- It serves as the most efficient rail link between the cities of Patna and Ranchi.
Ballari – Chikjajur Doubling (185 Kms):
- This line runs through the districts of Ballari and Chitradurga in Karnataka, and Anantapur district in Andhra Pradesh.
- The project will improve operational efficiency and mobility for Indian Railways.
Expected Outcomes:
- Enhanced travel convenience and logistics efficiency.
- Decreased logistics costs and diminished reliance on oil imports (estimated reduction of 52 crore liters).
- Environmentally beneficial, lowering CO2 emissions by 264 crore kg, equivalent to the plantation of 11 crore trees.
- These initiatives support the Government's sustainable development goals by promoting efficient rail operations.
Employment and Connectivity:
- The projects are expected to generate approximately 10.8 lakh direct human-days of employment during the construction phase.
- They will enhance connectivity to around 1,408 villages, impacting a population of about 28.19 lakh.
Economic Impact:
- The capacity augmentation is projected to facilitate an additional freight traffic of 49 million tonnes per annum (MTPA).
- The enhancements are aligned with the Prime Minister's vision for a "New India" by integrating robust infrastructure and boosting self-sufficiency in regional development.
Policy Alignment:
- The projects were conceptualized under the PM-Gati Shakti National Master Plan, which focuses on multi-modal connectivity through rigorous integrated planning.
- The multitracking initiatives are aimed at alleviating congestion on existing routes, thereby streamlining operations.
Summary Points:
- CCEA approves two major Indian Railways multitracking projects costing Rs. 6,405 crore.
- The projects will improve connectivity in Jharkhand, Karnataka, and Andhra Pradesh, adding 318 km to the railway network.
- Enhanced travel convenience, reduced logistics costs, and lower oil imports expected.
- Environmental impact includes a reduction in CO2 emissions equivalent to planting 11 crore trees.
- Direct employment generation of 10.8 lakh human-days during construction.
- Expected increase of 49 MTPA in freight traffic capacity.
- Aligned with PM-Gati Shakti National Master Plan for efficient and sustainable transport solutions.
- Benefits approximately 1,408 villages and a population of 28.19 lakh.
These developments underscore the government's commitment to enhancing railway infrastructure while supporting economic growth and environmental sustainability.
Economic and Social Development